"How to beat" thread - Page 11

Aggie · 27-03-2008, 08:53

Thanks Ynnek. The reason why my left defense was weaker in the last example was because I had 3 CD's and no WB on the left. I could get that left defense at 6.5 and CD at 7.1 if I change that.

Also tomattrick appears to be slightly on the low side compared to the real stats. But I know that on Monday !!

arne1 · 27-03-2008, 11:45

looking at your options I would pick 4-5-1 ont tow wing with AOW.
You will have midfield, you are slightly better in all defense area's and you have two attack ratings higher than his defense.

How to arrange your defense depends on how you expect him to play.
If he always plays the same way, teh selction you made would normally yield you victory.
He might however mots and use 2 wtm's just to win midfield in that case you need to play with 3 cd's, to keep his only attack, that is going to get chances, from converting on those chances.

If you can guess right what he is going to do, I predict you have 75% chance to win. If you are wrong I expect it to be 50/50

Aggie · 27-03-2008, 12:58

Thanks you arne. I went even further back in the history of JaFMs. The club only played counter-attack once in the past two seasons(last match in previous season). However they sold two of their strong backs. Also they never played with WTM... Here's hoping that they will keep on doing what they are doing!

I'm already happy with a draw though. If I then can win the next game I am a very happy man. I would then end the first half of the season (with 4 difficult away matches) at first place.

Aggie · 23-06-2008, 08:25

My next Cup opponent has strong players, but they are in bad shape. Looking at yesterday's stats, I am thinking that I could PiC the match (I'm at home). Is this a reasonable idea?

FWIW I have a weak leadership coach and I will be PiC-ing Sunday's game as well.

barbu1977 · 23-06-2008, 14:56

It it was my team, I would be playing normal, but that depends on other stuff like standinng in the league and chaces that your opponent be MOTSing this game.

But, to me, with those ratings you could be unlucky and loose.

Yet, I'm not that good in this game.

Aggie · 24-06-2008, 09:05

Thank you for your comments anyway. It made me think.

socralynnek · 24-06-2008, 10:11

Just looking at your picture posted, I'd say it is OK to PIC.

That is, if he for a long time didn't play with more than 3 midfielders (seems like he played with 1 winger) and didn't PIC on Sunday.

Did you PIC that match you posted as well?

Aggie · 24-06-2008, 11:43

He has played 3-4-3 for ages. I'm almost sure he didn't PiC. His best midfield ever had 6.25 in a home match and his players are now out of shape.

I also didn't PiC. This first league match was a crucial one to avoid relegation, playing a direct competitor.

socralynnek · 24-06-2008, 12:31

Alright, that means that your midfield with almost same lineup and a PIC should give you should give you something like 5.8 - 6.0.

If he plays with 3-4-3 with one winger it means, he will have maybe something like 4.2 or so. Which would give you about 57% or so posession (just a rough guess)

Comparing your defenses and attacks, that normally is enough but one never really knows...

So if you are in need for that PIC then do it. If you want to be very safe than play normal.

Aggie · 25-06-2008, 10:13

Thanks Ynnek, I decided not to PiC. The risk of not getting to the 3rd round is too great, also considering my weak bench.

27-03-2008, 11:45	#102
arne1 King Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Netherlands. Posts: 1,455	looking at your options I would pick 4-5-1 ont tow wing with AOW. You will have midfield, you are slightly better in all defense area's and you have two attack ratings higher than his defense. How to arrange your defense depends on how you expect him to play. If he always plays the same way, teh selction you made would normally yield you victory. He might however mots and use 2 wtm's just to win midfield in that case you need to play with 3 cd's, to keep his only attack, that is going to get chances, from converting on those chances. If you can guess right what he is going to do, I predict you have 75% chance to win. If you are wrong I expect it to be 50/50 __________________ expect the worst than everything is a bonus

23-06-2008, 14:56	#105
barbu1977 Emperor Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Blame Canada!. Posts: 3,501	It it was my team, I would be playing normal, but that depends on other stuff like standinng in the league and chaces that your opponent be MOTSing this game. But, to me, with those ratings you could be unlucky and loose. Yet, I'm not that good in this game. __________________ Postcount = Postcount + 1; //Postcount++

24-06-2008, 10:11	#107
socralynnek Moderator Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: USS Defiant Posts: 3,827	Just looking at your picture posted, I'd say it is OK to PIC. That is, if he for a long time didn't play with more than 3 midfielders (seems like he played with 1 winger) and didn't PIC on Sunday. Did you PIC that match you posted as well? __________________ Being without a signature since November 2004.

24-06-2008, 12:31	#109
socralynnek Moderator Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: USS Defiant Posts: 3,827	Alright, that means that your midfield with almost same lineup and a PIC should give you should give you something like 5.8 - 6.0. If he plays with 3-4-3 with one winger it means, he will have maybe something like 4.2 or so. Which would give you about 57% or so posession (just a rough guess) Comparing your defenses and attacks, that normally is enough but one never really knows... So if you are in need for that PIC then do it. If you want to be very safe than play normal. __________________ Being without a signature since November 2004.

27-03-2008, 08:53	#101
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	Thanks Ynnek. The reason why my left defense was weaker in the last example was because I had 3 CD's and no WB on the left. I could get that left defense at 6.5 and CD at 7.1 if I change that. Also tomattrick appears to be slightly on the low side compared to the real stats. But I know that on Monday !!

27-03-2008, 12:58	#103
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	Thanks you arne. I went even further back in the history of JaFMs. The club only played counter-attack once in the past two seasons(last match in previous season). However they sold two of their strong backs. Also they never played with WTM... Here's hoping that they will keep on doing what they are doing! I'm already happy with a draw though. If I then can win the next game I am a very happy man. I would then end the first half of the season (with 4 difficult away matches) at first place.

23-06-2008, 08:25	#104
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	My next Cup opponent has strong players, but they are in bad shape. Looking at yesterday's stats, I am thinking that I could PiC the match (I'm at home). Is this a reasonable idea? FWIW I have a weak leadership coach and I will be PiC-ing Sunday's game as well.

24-06-2008, 09:05	#106
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	Thank you for your comments anyway. It made me think.

24-06-2008, 11:43	#108
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	He has played 3-4-3 for ages. I'm almost sure he didn't PiC. His best midfield ever had 6.25 in a home match and his players are now out of shape. I also didn't PiC. This first league match was a crucial one to avoid relegation, playing a direct competitor.

25-06-2008, 10:13	#110
Aggie Emperor Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: N/A Posts: 4,490	Thanks Ynnek, I decided not to PiC. The risk of not getting to the 3rd round is too great, also considering my weak bench.