Thanks Beorn. This is one big difference between civ3 and civ4. The defense gets a 50% increase in defense bonus from the sea but it wasn't enough. I actually lost two units where the odds were over 60% and 70% to win and the RNG was unkind but I was at 100% on the winning horse archer and prat.
I have more powerful units coming too. Knights, prats and cats. I may land them in France's territory since Barbu doesn't have open borders with France.
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If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. Then quit. There's no point in being a damn fool about it.--W. C. Fields
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